Dating a man from Wuhan China

China's errors, dating back to the very first patients, were Wuhan Central, received its first coronavirus case, a year-old man with a fever.
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1st known case of coronavirus traced back to November in China | Live Science

The Wuhan authorities later said different districts within the city would be starting at different times. All the data we have comes from official sources in Wuhan, and there's no independent verification for the numbers. As of 1 June, a total of 9. They also said that if you include one million people tested in the seven days before the mass programme began in their area and who didn't need retesting , that's a total of It's taken longer to test everyone than the day period that was promised when the plan was first announced.

However, they did manage to collect as many as nine million test samples after 10 days, so nearly the entire population.


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Before they began the mass testing, there were about 60 centres across the city, with an overall maximum capacity of , tests a day, according to the official Hubei Daily newspaper. The other way they sped up the process was to use a batch testing method, which groups individual test samples together. Reports suggest they used batches of between five and 10 samples in Wuhan, only carrying out individual tests if a batch proved positive.

This is an efficient way to test large numbers of people where infection levels are low, as most batches would produce negative results. The authorities said they had found just positive cases all without symptoms out of all the tests done, and traced a further 1, close contacts of these people.


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Follow us on Twitter. Coronavirus: Wuhan in first virus cluster since end of lockdown. We've looked at the original plan, and what was achieved. What was the target? However, we don't have an exact number for this. A report in the Lancet that analyzed the first 41 people admitted to the hospital for nCoV infection suggests that clinically, the illness is similar to SARS, although fewer patients appear to have diarrhea or upper respiratory symptoms, such as sneezing, a runny nose and sore throat.

Some people also report fatigue, and in at least one case , a person has been found to be infected, but clear of any symptoms.

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Many of the symptoms are common to other respiratory diseases, so unless a person has been to Wuhan, China — or been in contact with someone who has — the illness is unlikely to be due to the new coronavirus. As of Jan. These figures, however, may not accurately reflect how dangerous the virus is, Fisman said, since the disease course is still underway for many patients.

According to the WHO, as of Jan. Clinical guidance from the WHO suggests the most serious concerns for patients are the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome, or ARDS , and sepsis, both of which can be fatal.

The lockdown: One month in Wuhan

There nevertheless has been one report of a year-old man with no known health concerns who died. The incubation period, or how long before someone who is infected shows symptoms, is estimated to be 2 to 14 days , according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. China has suggested that it is possible for people to be contagious during this period, but the CDC does not yet have evidence for that. Fisman noted that the timing of some of the German cases also suggests potential asymptomatic transmission, but he said more data is needed to know for sure.

Using a variety of methods, multiple teams have arrived at figures that generally range from 1.

COVID-19 pandemic lockdown in Hubei

An early estimate from the WHO, for example, suggested that every infected person would spread the virus to 1. A group at the University of Bern in Switzerland calculated an R0 of 1. All of the estimates are preliminary, and limited by the available data, which is changing by the day. As Majumder pointed out on Twitter, the R0 reflects potential transmission, not actual transmission — and that even though seasonal flu has a relatively low R0 of about 1.

Many other Chinese cities have recorded dozens of cases, including more than in Shanghai and Beijing. The U. The first cases in Europe were reported in France on Jan. Given the speed of the outbreak, these tallies will soon be out of date, but updates are available in a visualization tool put together by Johns Hopkins University that pulls information from the WHO, the CDC and Chinese sources.

References

The CDC has also launched its own state and global maps to show the location of confirmed cases. He is reportedly in satisfactory condition and remains in isolation at a hospital north of Seattle as of Jan. The CDC confirmed a second case on Jan. The woman, who is in her 60s, also had recently been to Wuhan; she is stable and is hospitalized largely to prevent disease spread.

Three more cases were announced on Jan. The CDC announced on Jan. This case is not yet reflected in the total case counts. Health officials suspect that there will be more American cases over time, although the CDC considers the immediate risk to Americans to be low. Scientists do not yet know the origin of the virus, but coronaviruses are zoonotic viruses, meaning they can transfer from animals to humans.


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For nCoV, experts also suspect the virus originated in bats, although that has not yet been demonstrated. Scientists also have been comparing viral sequences from numerous patients to begin to understand when the virus first emerged and how the outbreak first unfolded. China closed the seafood market in Wuhan that is suspected of spreading the virus on Jan.