Arab dating in Mosul Iraq

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Deeper divisions among Sunni Arabs date back at least to the boycott of the first elections held after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein. Since that time, Sunni power has been usurped by Shia power, and divisions among Sunnis in the political wilderness have become a chronic problem.

Over the past 13 years Sunni Arabs have been deprived of a strong advocate in Baghdad, and some Sunnis view themselves as outcasts in their own country. As for the Shia community, although they control the federal government, they are afflicted by internal political rivalry. Within parliament, the member Reform Group, led by former prime minister and current president Nuri al-Maliki, represents a conservative Shia counterweight to the Iraqi parliament, and thus to Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi.

Maliki draws his power from the deep relationships he established while prime minister between and , and from his influence over the Hashd al-Shaabi militia, seen by many as a puppet of Tehran. This sudden move from a parliamentary faction jolted Bagdad-Erbil relations, which were already very fragile. Abadi is now in a position where he must tread lightly, aware that a failure in Mosul will cost him his political career. The divisions within the Shia political structure are also related to differing views on Iraqi-Turkish relations. The situation on October 4th, where parliament took a decision against Turkish presence in Mosul, was led by the Reform Group under likely Iranian influence.

Although al-Abadi has not closed all diplomatic channels with Turkey, the prime minister takes utmost care to be in line with influential Shia actors. Hence, he is a political player taken hostage by the Reform Group, Hashd al-Shaabi and, by extension, Tehran. At this point one could ask since the head of the Iraqi government does not want Turkish military presence in the country, why Turkey does not comply and leave the country?

Turkey is one of the countries most affected by the Syrian crisis.

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Turkey has absorbed as many as 3. ISIS has carved out a safe zone for itself along the border, and has carried out dozens of bomb attacks inside Turkey that killed dozens of citizens.


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The security situation inside the country runs the risk to evolve into a political crisis at any moment. The Turkish government is concerned that repeating the same mistake of inaction could result in worsening border security problems that could eventually drag the country into chaos and violence. Turkey shares a 1,km border with two failed states and is worried that the instability catalyzed by its neighbors could spread to its soil igniting a prolonged crisis.


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The PKK threat and the emergence of Turkish hard power. The PKK, a Kurdish separatist group with Marxist-Leninist roots, carried out its first bloody attack in when it killed 12 Turkish officers. From then onwards the PKK, which has received external support, succeeded in spreading violence throughout the country through armed conflict with Turkish military in the countryside, as well as raids into the villages and bomb attacks in the cities, and hostage kidnapping. The death toll of this violence is estimated to be 40, civilians over the past 35 years.

The PKK, which recovered during the ceasefire , recently resumed its attacks. However, when the Syrian uprising devolved into an armed conflict and the central government in Damascus lost control over the country, the PKK began deepening its presence in northern Syria.

Increasing conflict with the Turkish state led to a total collapse of the ceasefire in To this end, the PKK has escalated its propaganda within the Kurdish community, portraying Turkey as the absolute enemy. Negotiations between the Turkish government and the PKK resumed in March and the parties declared a ceasefire in vague terms. Ultimately, however, these negotiations failed. One of these conditions was for the Turkish army to lay down its arms in return for the PKK doing so.

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Turkey declared the cantons illegal but did not act against them. Turkish politics were turbulent in The PYD took advantage of the present fragile situation and united two of its cantons, Jazeera and Kobani, strengthening its presence in Turkish border. The PYD further declared that it will join the third canton, Afrin, with this zone, thus extending control to the Mediterranean.

Meanwhile, Turkey refrained from launching a military campaign although sections of society voiced demands for the country to do so. The government deployed military forces along the Jarablus-Azaz line in an effort to prevent the PKK from gaining control of the entire Turkish-Syrian border area. The government, which emerged from the failed coup with a stronger position, prioritizes hard power in its new foreign policy when the national security is at stake.

This new policy has implications for the Mosul operations. Please see the main page for more findings, and research summaries about other field research sites. Kurdish Security Forces with support from Coalition air strikes cleared the sub-district by the end of the year and remain in control to date. Both Kurdish and Arab tribal forces provide auxiliary support to hold the area, but each group has different levels of integration into the formal structures of the Kurdish Security Forces. Although life seems to have rebounded in Zummar, with functioning markets and high levels of security, Kurdish Security Forces maintain an iron grip over local administration and entry to Zummar.

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From the s, Zummar and parts of Ayyadhiyya sub-district have endured three decades of systematic anti-Kurd policies, which have ranged from the destruction of villages, confiscation of property, to restrictions in the use of the Kurdish language. For example, seven entire villages of the Miran tribe ca.

Iraq after ISIL: Zummar

By , approximately 8 , families were forcibly removed and dozens of villages leveled. In parallel, large numbers of Sunni Arabs moved in to the area, who occupied the lands and took over jobs, including at the Ayn Zala oil field, directly south of Zummar town, which had been operated by Kurdish oil workers.

A major criticism levied against Kurdish Security Forces in Zummar is the comparably high degree of destruction in Sunni Arab areas. Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch documented that two Arab-majority villages, Barzan and Shikhan which were seen en-route to Zummar in February were reduced to ashes and rubble, and the houses and shops of Arabs were torched in the mixed-community Zummar town and Bardiyya village. This is the highest number by far in the eight analyzed geographic areas. Additionally, they noted the extraordinary amount — tons — of explosives left behind in these villages by ISIL , which also caused the death of 24 members of the Kurdish demining team.

The author received video footages of the demining operation in the sub-district, with several houses seemingly booby trapped, but the validity of the videos could not be confirmed.